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7

Woodglen Court

4yo Gelding · 8-10 · OR 55

Fort Erie · Race 3 - Maiden Claiming · 7f

#1

Rank

Odds

3/1

Win Prob

46%

Place Prob

32%

Rank

#1

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▼2
Strength98%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Finished in the top 3 in 3 of 5 stronger races — strong class form.

Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 1.0 /10 (raw 4.7)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.4
Today:
Class gap: +2.1
Higher-class runs: 5
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC9 @ Woodbine 23/11/2025 · Pos 4th of 11 · OR 53 · 7f Fas 119 · beat its mark23/11/2025 · OR 53 par23/11C9OR 53C9 @ Woodbine 13/12/2025 · Pos 4th of 10 · OR 66 · 7f Fas 119 · below its mark13/12/2025 · OR 66 parC5 @ Fort Erie 31/05/2026 · Pos 8th of 9 · OR 63 · 5f 122 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark31/05/2026 · OR 63 par31/05C5OR 63C6 @ Fort Erie 29/06/2026 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR 59 · 7f Fm 122 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark29/06/2026 · OR 59 parC6 @ Fort Erie 12/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 5 · OR 57 · 6f110y Fas 122 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark12/07/2026 · OR 57 par12/07C6OR 57C6 @ Fort Erie 27/07/2026 · Pos 5th of 6 · OR 57 · 7f Fm 122 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark27/07/2026 · OR 57 parC6 @ Fort Erie 11/08/2026 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR 58 · 7f 122 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark11/08/2026 · OR 58 par11/08C6OR 58C9 @ Fort Erie 24/08/2026 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR 54 · 7f 122 · beat its mark24/08/2026 · OR 54 parC6 @ Fort Erie 07/09/2026 · Pos 2nd of 5 · OR 54 · 6f110y Fas 122 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark07/09/2026 · OR 54 par7/09C6OR 54projClass-projected finish: 1st of 8
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-07Fort Erie?2nd-1th+3
2026-08-24Fort Erie?2nd2nd0
2026-08-11Fort Erie?4th1st+3
2026-07-27Fort Erie?5th2nd+3
2026-07-12Fort Erie?2nd-1th+3
2026-06-29Fort Erie?3rd0th+3

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today23/1129/0611/087/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 988% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength66%

Delivery trend -0.6% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 2nd of 9.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
23/11/20254th11/486%70%-0.16
13/12/20254th2/189%67%-0.23
31/05/20268th25/10%13%+0.13
29/06/20263rd5/174%71%-0.02
12/07/20262nd7/282%75%-0.07
27/07/20265th6/492%20%-0.72
11/08/20264th4/179%57%-0.22
24/08/20262nd7/282%86%+0.04
07/09/20262nd11/486%75%-0.11