6
Shoot
3yo Filly · 8-8 · OR 46
Fort Erie · Race 5 - Maiden Special Weight · 5f 110y
#4
Rank
Odds
8/5
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
7%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength25%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.9 /10 (raw 5.4)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.4
Today:
Class gap: -0.4
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-07 | Fort Erie | ? | 7th | 5th | +2 |
| 2026-08-10 | Fort Erie | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-23 | Woodbine | ? | 5th | 8th | −3 |
| 2025-12-13 | Woodbine | ? | 7th | 8th | −1 |
| 2025-11-22 | Woodbine | ? | 5th | 6th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 660% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▲
Strength78%
Delivery trend +5.9% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 3rd of 6. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/11/2025 | 5th | 3/1 | 84% | 60% | -0.24 |
| 13/12/2025 | 7th | 9/2 | 76% | 25% | -0.51 |
| 23/07/2026 | 5th | 3/1 | 84% | 43% | -0.41 |
| 10/08/2026 | 3rd | 7/4 | 91% | 50% | -0.41 |
| 07/09/2026 | 7th | 40/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |