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3yo Filly · 8-8 · OR 103

Fort Erie · Race 5 - Maiden Special Weight · 5f 110y

#1

Rank

Odds

8/1

Win Prob

85%

Place Prob

59%

Rank

#1

Class Advantage Projection

Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲3
Strength0%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type.

Class-adjusted form 8.7 /10 (raw 5.7)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.5
Today:
Class gap: -2.5
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC9 @ Woodbine 07/12/2025 · Pos 7th of 7 · OR - · 7f Fas 1157/12C9C9 @ Woodbine 05/06/2026 · Pos 7th of 7 · OR - · 7f Fas 1195/06C9C9 @ Fort Erie 15/09/2026 · Pos 3rd of 6 · OR - · 6f Fas 12015/09C9
Actual finishDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-15Fort Erie?3rd6th−3
2026-06-05Woodbine?7th10th−3
2025-12-07Woodbine?7th10th−3

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today7/125/0615/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 6100% of fieldRange 1-1 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength100%

Delivery trend +30.0% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 1st of 6. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
07/12/20257th25/10%0%0.00
05/06/20267th25/10%0%0.00
15/09/20263rd25/10%60%+0.60