1
Sporty Angela
3yo Filly · 8-8 · OR 53
Fort Erie · Race 5 - Maiden Special Weight · 5f 110y
#5
Rank
Odds
7/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▲1
Strength8%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Class-adjusted form 6.5 /10 (raw 5.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.3
Today:
Class gap: -1.2
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-21 | Fort Erie | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-08-30 | Fort Erie | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-08-20 | Woodbine | ? | 6th | 9th | −3 |
| 2026-07-30 | Woodbine | ? | 4th | 7th | −3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 640% of fieldRange 1-1 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▲
Strength100%
Delivery trend +25.4% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 4th of 6. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/07/2026 | 4th | 10/3 | 82% | 57% | -0.25 |
| 20/08/2026 | 6th | 13/2 | 66% | 29% | -0.37 |
| 30/08/2026 | 6th | 14/1 | 26% | 17% | -0.10 |
| 21/09/2026 | 4th | 20/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |