Doadster
4yo Gelding · 8-10 · OR 80
Fort Erie · Race 6 - Claiming · 7f
#1
Rank
Odds
2/1
Win Prob
99%
Place Prob
87%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 1 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.5 /10 (raw 4.2)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-31 | Fort Erie | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-08-24 | Fort Erie | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-08-03 | Fort Erie | ? | 3rd | 0th | +3 |
| 2026-07-21 | Fort Erie | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-21 | Fort Erie | ? | 4th | 1st | +3 |
| 2025-12-12 | Woodbine | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -1.7% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 1st of 8.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/10/2025 | 2nd | 10/1 | 47% | 92% | +0.45 |
| 23/10/2025 | 4th | 11/4 | 86% | 40% | -0.46 |
| 31/10/2025 | 2nd | 9/2 | 76% | 88% | +0.11 |
| 12/12/2025 | 8th | 15/2 | 61% | 30% | -0.31 |
| 21/06/2026 | 4th | 10/3 | 82% | 50% | -0.32 |
| 21/07/2026 | 3rd | 15/8 | 90% | 60% | -0.30 |
| 03/08/2026 | 3rd | 3/1 | 84% | 60% | -0.24 |
| 24/08/2026 | 2nd | 11/8 | 93% | 80% | -0.13 |
| 31/08/2026 | 1st | 5/2 | 87% | 100% | +0.13 |