Final Run For Love
6yo Horse · 8-8 · OR 75
Fort Erie · Race 6 - Claiming · 7f
#2
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
7%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.8 /10 (raw 3.8)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-15 | Fort Erie | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-08-31 | Fort Erie | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-07-28 | Fort Erie | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-07-07 | Fort Erie | ? | 4th | 1st | +3 |
| 2026-06-30 | Fort Erie | ? | 4th | 1st | +3 |
| 2025-11-14 | Woodbine | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -9.4% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 5th of 8. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/10/2025 | 3rd | 20/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |
| 14/10/2025 | 4th | 7/1 | 63% | 40% | -0.23 |
| 31/10/2025 | 6th | 33/1 | 0% | 38% | +0.38 |
| 14/11/2025 | 6th | 25/1 | 0% | 29% | +0.29 |
| 30/06/2026 | 4th | 11/2 | 71% | 57% | -0.14 |
| 07/07/2026 | 4th | 9/1 | 53% | 40% | -0.13 |
| 28/07/2026 | 1st | 5/2 | 87% | 100% | +0.13 |
| 31/08/2026 | 6th | 8/1 | 58% | 0% | -0.58 |
| 15/09/2026 | 8th | 14/1 | 26% | 0% | -0.26 |