4
Miss D's Pride
7yo Gelding · 8-10 · OR 66
Fort Erie · Race 6 - Claiming · 7f
#8
Rank
Odds
6/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 6.8 /10 (raw 5.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-31 | Fort Erie | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-08-24 | Fort Erie | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-08-09 | Woodbine | ? | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2026-07-24 | Woodbine | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-07-10 | Woodbine | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-06-26 | Woodbine | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 80% of fieldRange 3-8 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength35%
Delivery trend -8.0% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 8th of 8. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/05/2026 | 7th | 33/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 30/05/2026 | 4th | 20/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 19/06/2026 | 2nd | 10/1 | 47% | 88% | +0.40 |
| 26/06/2026 | 6th | 5/1 | 74% | 29% | -0.45 |
| 10/07/2026 | 1st | 10/3 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 24/07/2026 | 10th | 25/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 09/08/2026 | 12th | 40/1 | 0% | 15% | +0.15 |
| 24/08/2026 | 7th | 40/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 31/08/2026 | 5th | 6/1 | 68% | 20% | -0.48 |