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Annie Edson Taylor
5yo Mare · 11-5 · OR 67
Hamilton · Clearwater DC Ltd Environmental Solutions Amateur Jockeys' Handicap · 6f 6y
#1
Rank
Odds
6/4
Win Prob
100%
Place Prob
97%
Rank
#1
★★★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength25%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.2 /10 (raw 4.5)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C5.2
Today: 5
Class gap: -0.2
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-20 | Hamilton | 4 | 1st | 0th | +1 |
| 2026-09-02 | Hamilton | 5 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-08-08 | Ayr | 6 | 9th | 10th | −1 |
| 2026-06-17 | Hamilton | 5 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-06-05 | Thirsk | 6 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-05-19 | Newcastle | 5 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 6100% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▲
Strength100%
Delivery trend +2.9% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 1st of 6. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/09/2025 | 6th | 9/2 | 76% | 55% | -0.22 |
| 23/10/2025 | 10th | 15/2 | 61% | 18% | -0.42 |
| 01/05/2026 | 4th | 33/1 | 0% | 73% | +0.73 |
| 19/05/2026 | 6th | 13/2 | 66% | 29% | -0.37 |
| 05/06/2026 | 1st | 13/2 | 66% | 100% | +0.34 |
| 17/06/2026 | 6th | 5/1 | 74% | 29% | -0.45 |
| 08/08/2026 | 9th | 6/1 | 68% | 33% | -0.35 |
| 02/09/2026 | 1st | 7/1 | 63% | 100% | +0.37 |
| 20/09/2026 | 1st | 7/2 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |