Bonjour Belle
2yo Filly · 8-7 · OR 50
Hamilton · Rotary Club East Kilbride Nursery Selling Handicap · 6f 6y
#5
Rank
Odds
9/4
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.8 /10 (raw 6.0)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-24 | Musselburgh | 6 | 4th | 5th | −1 |
| 2026-08-13 | Beverley | 6 | 6th | 7th | −1 |
| 2026-08-07 | Thirsk | 5 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-19 | Redcar | 4 | 10th | 9th | +1 |
| 2026-06-25 | Newcastle | 4 | 7th | 6th | +1 |
| 2026-06-13 | Chester | 4 | 5th | 4th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +5.7% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 2nd of 7. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/06/2026 | 5th | 11/1 | 42% | 60% | +0.18 |
| 25/06/2026 | 7th | 10/1 | 47% | 33% | -0.14 |
| 19/07/2026 | 10th | 10/1 | 47% | 25% | -0.22 |
| 07/08/2026 | 4th | 16/1 | 16% | 40% | +0.24 |
| 13/08/2026 | 6th | 28/1 | 0% | 44% | +0.44 |
| 24/08/2026 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 50% | +0.13 |