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3

Dadawada

2yo Filly · 8-12 · OR 55

Hamilton · Rotary Club East Kilbride Nursery Selling Handicap · 6f 6y

#6

Rank

Odds

16/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#6

★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Lightly-raced maiden who's shown only poor form to date but did shape a bit better than result despite finishing no better than mid-field on nursery debut at Thirsk 2 weeks ago. Now needs to build on that.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength42%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Held its own mid-division in 3 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 5.7 /10 (raw 6.3)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.5
Today: 5
Class gap: +0.5
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Musselburgh 30/06/2026 · Pos 5th of 6 · OR - · 5f1y Goo 125 · HIGHER CLASS30/0644 @ Chester 22/08/2026 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR - · 5f15y Goo 128 · HIGHER CLASS22/0844 @ Hamilton 02/09/2026 · Pos 6th of 7 · OR - · 5f7y Sft 128 · HIGHER CLASS2/0946 @ Thirsk 14/09/2026 · Pos 10th of 16 · OR 56 · 6f Goo 126 · beat its mark14/09/2026 · OR 56 par14/096OR 56projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 7
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-14Thirsk610th11th−1
2026-09-02Hamilton46th5th+1
2026-08-22Chester44th3rd+1
2026-06-30Musselburgh45th4th+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today30/0622/082/0914/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 70% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength73%

Delivery trend +14.7% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 7th of 7. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
30/06/20265th12/137%20%-0.17
22/08/20264th125/10%40%+0.40
02/09/20266th125/10%17%+0.17
14/09/202610th50/10%40%+0.40