North Coates
2yo Gelding · 8-3 · OR 46
Hamilton · Rotary Club East Kilbride Nursery Selling Handicap · 6f 6y
#7
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.8 /10 (raw 6.0)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-11 | Chester | 5 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-08-26 | Catterick | 4 | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2026-08-16 | Pontefract | 3 | 5th | 3rd | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +12.5% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 4th of 7. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/08/2026 | 5th | 80/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 26/08/2026 | 6th | 33/1 | 0% | 29% | +0.29 |
| 11/09/2026 | 7th | 150/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |