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10

Callisto Dream

4yo Filly · 9-2 · OR 77

Hamilton · John MacKenzie And Hamish MacGregor Memorial Handicap · 1m 68y

#11

Rank

Odds

20/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#11

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Took advantage of drop in grade when winning at Pontefract on return in May. However, she added to her patchy record at York 4 months later.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength32%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 6.0 /10 (raw 4.3)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C3.7
Today: 3
Class gap: -0.7
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack5 @ Carlisle 11/09/2024 · Pos 1st of 11 · OR - · 5f182y Sft 12611/0955 @ Wolverhampton 06/05/2025 · Pos 6th of 8 · OR - · 1m142y Std 1334 @ Goodwood 06/06/2025 · Pos 1st of 9 · OR 79 · 1m Goo 133 · beat its mark06/06/2025 · OR 79 par6/064OR 793 @ Ascot 12/07/2025 · Pos 3rd of 6 · OR 80 · 1m GF 127 · beat its mark12/07/2025 · OR 80 par4 @ Redcar 30/07/2025 · Pos 3rd of 5 · OR 80 · 7f219y Goo 136 · beat its mark30/07/2025 · OR 80 par30/074OR 802 @ York 22/08/2025 · Pos 9th of 13 · OR 79 · 1m2f56y Goo 120 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark22/08/2025 · OR 79 par4 @ Goodwood 12/10/2025 · Pos 7th of 11 · OR 77 · 1m1f197y Gd 128 · beat its mark12/10/2025 · OR 77 par12/104OR 775 @ Pontefract 22/05/2026 · Pos 1st of 10 · OR 75 · 1m6y Goo 135 · beat its mark22/05/2026 · OR 75 par4 @ York 06/09/2026 · Pos 8th of 19 · OR 77 · 7f192y GS 134 · beat its mark06/09/2026 · OR 77 par6/094OR 77projClass-projected finish: 5th of 13
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-06York48th9th−1
2026-05-22Pontefract51st3rd−2
2025-10-12Goodwood47th8th−1
2025-08-22York29th8th+1
2025-07-30Redcar43rd4th−1
2025-07-12Ascot33rd3rd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today11/0912/0712/106/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 1333% of fieldRange 3-13 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength43%

Delivery trend +7.9% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 9th of 13. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
11/09/20241st11/486%100%+0.14
06/05/20256th15/890%29%-0.62
06/06/20251st5/696%100%+0.04
12/07/20253rd6/168%60%-0.08
30/07/20253rd9/488%50%-0.38
22/08/20259th25/10%33%+0.33
12/10/20257th12/137%40%+0.03
22/05/20261st4/179%100%+0.21
06/09/20268th20/10%61%+0.61