Geo
4yo Filly · 8-9 · OR 70
Hamilton · John MacKenzie And Hamish MacGregor Memorial Handicap · 1m 68y
#6
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.6 /10 (raw 4.9)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-17 | Ayr | 4 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-09-03 | Haydock | 3 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-08-08 | Ayr | 5 | 4th | 6th | −2 |
| 2026-07-27 | Ayr | 4 | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2026-07-17 | Hamilton | 5 | 2nd | 4th | −2 |
| 2026-06-25 | Hamilton | 5 | 2nd | 4th | −2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +4.6% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 4th of 13. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/05/2026 | 6th | 10/1 | 47% | 50% | +0.03 |
| 17/06/2026 | 2nd | 9/2 | 76% | 80% | +0.04 |
| 24/06/2026 | 4th | 9/2 | 76% | 67% | -0.10 |
| 25/06/2026 | 2nd | 3/1 | 84% | 67% | -0.18 |
| 17/07/2026 | 2nd | 11/8 | 93% | 75% | -0.18 |
| 27/07/2026 | 3rd | 8/1 | 58% | 50% | -0.08 |
| 08/08/2026 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 75% | +0.38 |
| 03/09/2026 | 6th | 18/1 | 5% | 17% | +0.11 |
| 17/09/2026 | 1st | 15/2 | 61% | 100% | +0.39 |