Strength of Spirit
3yo Gelding · 9-9 · OR 88
Hamilton · John MacKenzie And Hamish MacGregor Memorial Handicap · 1m 68y
#3
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.4 /10 (raw 4.5)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-10 | Doncaster | 2 | 10th | 9th | +1 |
| 2026-08-11 | Hamilton | 3 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-07-30 | Goodwood | 2 | 10th | 9th | +1 |
| 2026-06-30 | Musselburgh | 3 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-06 | Musselburgh | 2 | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
| 2026-05-23 | Goodwood | 2 | 9th | 8th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -1.1% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 5th of 13.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/04/2026 | 1st | 4/1 | 79% | 100% | +0.21 |
| 25/04/2026 | 3rd | 10/3 | 82% | 71% | -0.11 |
| 07/05/2026 | 8th | 6/1 | 68% | 36% | -0.32 |
| 23/05/2026 | 9th | 28/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 06/06/2026 | 3rd | 9/4 | 88% | 67% | -0.21 |
| 30/06/2026 | 4th | 6/1 | 68% | 63% | -0.06 |
| 30/07/2026 | 10th | 12/1 | 37% | 31% | -0.06 |
| 11/08/2026 | 1st | 15/2 | 61% | 100% | +0.39 |
| 10/09/2026 | 10th | 11/1 | 42% | 10% | -0.32 |