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10

Copper Knight

12yo Gelding · 8-10 · OR 74

Hamilton · Barbara Ann Letham And Son Johnathan Memorial Handicap · 5f 7y

#9

Rank

Odds

5/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#9

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Admirable veteran who took advantage of his low draw and career-low mark when justifying support at Chester 9 days ago. Will likely find this tougher.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▲1
Strength23%

What the class read says

Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 9.3 /10 (raw 6.1)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C3.8
Today: 3
Class gap: -0.8
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Beverley 04/05/2026 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR 79 · 5f Goo 129 · beat its mark04/05/2026 · OR 79 par4/054OR 792 @ York 14/05/2026 · Pos 18th of 21 · OR 79 · 5f Gd 118 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark14/05/2026 · OR 79 par4 @ Thirsk 31/05/2026 · Pos 6th of 17 · OR 81 · 5f Goo 131 · beat its mark31/05/2026 · OR 81 par31/054OR 813 @ Chester 13/06/2026 · Pos 9th of 10 · OR 80 · 5f15y Goo 129 · beat its mark13/06/2026 · OR 80 par4 @ Chester 25/07/2026 · Pos 10th of 11 · OR 79 · 5f15y Goo 135 · below its mark25/07/2026 · OR 79 par25/074OR 794 @ Newcastle 20/08/2026 · Pos 9th of 13 · OR 77 · 5f Std 137 · beat its mark20/08/2026 · OR 77 par4 @ York 06/09/2026 · Pos 13th of 21 · OR 74 · 5f89y GS 132 · beat its mark06/09/2026 · OR 74 par6/094OR 744 @ Doncaster 13/09/2026 · Pos 8th of 10 · OR 74 · 5f3y Gd 132 · beat its mark13/09/2026 · OR 74 par4 @ Chester 19/09/2026 · Pos 1st of 11 · OR 71 · 5f15y Hvy 124 · beat its mark19/09/2026 · OR 71 par19/094OR 71projClass-projected finish: 8th of 10
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-19Chester41st2nd−1
2026-09-13Doncaster48th9th−1
2026-09-06York413th14th−1
2026-08-20Newcastle49th10th−1
2026-07-25Chester410th11th−1
2026-06-13Chester39th9th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today4/0513/066/0919/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 1022% of fieldRange 1-9 · 68%
▬ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength60%

Delivery trend -4.3% per run

What the projection says

Edging ahead of its price lately — not a standalone signal; it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 8th of 10. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
04/05/20261st4/179%100%+0.21
14/05/202618th28/10%15%+0.15
31/05/20266th25/10%69%+0.69
13/06/20269th22/10%11%+0.11
25/07/202610th5/174%10%-0.64
20/08/20269th25/10%33%+0.33
06/09/202613th11/142%40%-0.02
13/09/20268th11/142%22%-0.20
19/09/20261st9/488%100%+0.12