Dandy Magic
4yo Filly · 8-13 · OR 77
Hamilton · Barbara Ann Letham And Son Johnathan Memorial Handicap · 5f 7y
#5
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
3%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.6 /10 (raw 5.0)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-26 | Haydock | 3 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-09-13 | Doncaster | 4 | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-08-21 | Hamilton | 4 | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2026-08-11 | Hamilton | 4 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-07-24 | Ascot | 4 | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2026-07-20 | Ayr | 3 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -2.4% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 6th of 10. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/06/2026 | 10th | 20/1 | 0% | 31% | +0.31 |
| 06/07/2026 | 4th | 25/1 | 0% | 81% | +0.81 |
| 09/07/2026 | 4th | 2/1 | 89% | 57% | -0.32 |
| 20/07/2026 | 4th | 8/1 | 58% | 63% | +0.05 |
| 24/07/2026 | 3rd | 11/4 | 86% | 75% | -0.11 |
| 11/08/2026 | 1st | 12/1 | 37% | 100% | +0.63 |
| 21/08/2026 | 3rd | 4/1 | 79% | 78% | -0.01 |
| 13/09/2026 | 2nd | 9/2 | 76% | 93% | +0.17 |
| 26/09/2026 | 4th | 8/1 | 58% | 70% | +0.12 |