Gaeli
5yo Gelding · 10-0 · OR 92
Hamilton · Barbara Ann Letham And Son Johnathan Memorial Handicap · 5f 7y
#8
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 5 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.0 /10 (raw 7.0)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-08 | Ascot | 2 | 10th | 9th | +1 |
| 2026-06-26 | Newcastle | 2 | 14th | 13th | +1 |
| 2026-06-08 | Windsor | 2 | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2026-05-18 | Windsor | 2 | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2026-03-21 | Southwell | 2 | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2026-03-04 | Southwell | 3 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -17.6% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 9th of 10. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/03/2026 | 1st | 25/1 | 0% | 100% | +1.00 |
| 21/03/2026 | 6th | 9/2 | 76% | 55% | -0.22 |
| 18/05/2026 | 5th | 18/1 | 5% | 50% | +0.45 |
| 08/06/2026 | 6th | 8/1 | 58% | 0% | -0.58 |
| 26/06/2026 | 14th | 14/1 | 26% | 0% | -0.26 |
| 08/08/2026 | 10th | 50/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |