
Temple Of Athena
3yo Filly · 9-2 · OR 81
Hamilton · Barbara Ann Letham And Son Johnathan Memorial Handicap · 5f 7y
#4
Rank
Odds
5/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
3%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.4 /10 (raw 4.7)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-19 | Chester | 4 | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2026-09-11 | Chester | 3 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-08-29 | Beverley | 3 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-07-06 | Lingfield | 4 | 4th | 5th | −1 |
| 2026-06-05 | Epsom Downs | 2 | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2026-05-14 | York | 1 | 8th | 5th | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -2.3% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 3rd of 10. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/03/2026 | 1st | 20/1 | 0% | 100% | +1.00 |
| 05/04/2026 | 7th | 11/1 | 42% | 54% | +0.12 |
| 06/05/2026 | 10th | 9/2 | 76% | 18% | -0.58 |
| 14/05/2026 | 8th | 66/1 | 0% | 22% | +0.22 |
| 05/06/2026 | 4th | 16/1 | 16% | 80% | +0.64 |
| 06/07/2026 | 4th | 11/2 | 71% | 63% | -0.09 |
| 29/08/2026 | 5th | 16/1 | 16% | 50% | +0.34 |
| 11/09/2026 | 4th | 11/1 | 42% | 67% | +0.25 |
| 19/09/2026 | 3rd | 7/1 | 63% | 80% | +0.17 |