6
Impressor
9yo Gelding · 9-0 · OR 54
Hamilton · Phoenix Drilling Ground Investigation Handicap · 5f 7y
#2
Rank
Odds
9/4
Win Prob
57%
Place Prob
42%
Rank
#2
★★★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▬
Strength23%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 7.5 /10 (raw 5.2)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C5.7
Today: 5
Class gap: -0.7
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-20 | Hamilton | 6 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-09-02 | Hamilton | 6 | 12th | 13th | −1 |
| 2026-08-21 | Hamilton | 6 | 8th | 9th | −1 |
| 2026-08-08 | Ayr | 6 | 10th | 11th | −1 |
| 2026-06-10 | Hamilton | 5 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-06-04 | Hamilton | 5 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 871% of fieldRange 2-8 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength42%
Delivery trend -8.3% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 3rd of 8. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/04/2026 | 10th | 33/1 | 0% | 44% | +0.44 |
| 18/04/2026 | 10th | 14/1 | 26% | 47% | +0.21 |
| 18/05/2026 | 6th | 11/1 | 42% | 55% | +0.12 |
| 04/06/2026 | 3rd | 14/1 | 26% | 75% | +0.49 |
| 10/06/2026 | 6th | 4/1 | 79% | 0% | -0.79 |
| 08/08/2026 | 10th | 12/1 | 37% | 25% | -0.12 |
| 21/08/2026 | 8th | 17/2 | 55% | 22% | -0.33 |
| 02/09/2026 | 12th | 7/1 | 63% | 8% | -0.55 |
| 20/09/2026 | 1st | 5/2 | 87% | 100% | +0.13 |