Roach Power
7yo Gelding · 9-12 · OR 70
Hamilton · Phoenix Drilling Ground Investigation Handicap · 5f 7y
#7
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Held its own mid-division in 6 of 6 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 8.1 /10 (raw 6.2)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-26 | Haydock | 2 | 7th | 3rd | +3 |
| 2026-09-06 | York | 4 | 19th | 18th | +1 |
| 2026-08-29 | Sandown | 4 | 7th | 6th | +1 |
| 2026-08-15 | Ripon | 4 | 18th | 17th | +1 |
| 2026-06-08 | Windsor | 2 | 4th | 0th | +3 |
| 2026-05-22 | Goodwood | 3 | 7th | 5th | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -2.1% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 7th of 8. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/11/2025 | 19th | 25/1 | 0% | 14% | +0.14 |
| 17/04/2026 | 10th | 50/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |
| 07/05/2026 | 9th | 40/1 | 0% | 11% | +0.11 |
| 22/05/2026 | 7th | 9/1 | 53% | 33% | -0.19 |
| 08/06/2026 | 4th | 7/1 | 63% | 40% | -0.23 |
| 15/08/2026 | 18th | 28/1 | 0% | 11% | +0.11 |
| 29/08/2026 | 7th | 5/1 | 74% | 14% | -0.59 |
| 06/09/2026 | 19th | 80/1 | 0% | 10% | +0.10 |
| 26/09/2026 | 7th | 20/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |