Vince L'Amour
5yo Gelding · 9-10 · OR 68
Hamilton · Phoenix Drilling Ground Investigation Handicap · 5f 7y
#6
Rank
Odds
11/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 8.7 /10 (raw 7.0)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-17 | Ayr | 5 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-08-26 | Catterick | 4 | 8th | 7th | +1 |
| 2026-08-15 | Ripon | 4 | 15th | 14th | +1 |
| 2026-08-07 | Thirsk | 5 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-25 | York | 4 | 17th | 16th | +1 |
| 2026-07-06 | Ripon | 4 | 9th | 8th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -0.7% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 4th of 8.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/05/2026 | 13th | 50/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |
| 09/06/2026 | 6th | 16/1 | 16% | 50% | +0.34 |
| 18/06/2026 | 7th | 33/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 06/07/2026 | 9th | 22/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 25/07/2026 | 17th | 66/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 07/08/2026 | 2nd | 10/1 | 47% | 80% | +0.33 |
| 15/08/2026 | 15th | 66/1 | 0% | 26% | +0.26 |
| 26/08/2026 | 8th | 22/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 17/09/2026 | 6th | 17/2 | 55% | 74% | +0.18 |