African Gib
3yo Gelding · 9-4 · OR 57
Hamilton · Annual Members Of Hamilton Park Handicap · 1m 4f 15y
#6
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.2 /10 (raw 6.2)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-29 | Windsor | 6 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-30 | Wolverhampton | 6 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-06-01 | Windsor | 6 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2025-12-03 | Kempton | 5 | 7th | 6th | +1 |
| 2025-10-29 | Nottingham | 4 | 6th | 4th | +2 |
| 2025-09-25 | Pontefract | 4 | 6th | 4th | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +4.4% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 4th of 10. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/09/2025 | 6th | 9/1 | 53% | 38% | -0.15 |
| 29/10/2025 | 6th | 33/1 | 0% | 38% | +0.38 |
| 03/12/2025 | 7th | 50/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 01/06/2026 | 8th | 10/1 | 47% | 22% | -0.25 |
| 30/07/2026 | 6th | 33/1 | 0% | 55% | +0.55 |
| 29/08/2026 | 4th | 8/1 | 58% | 75% | +0.17 |