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9

Due To Shine

3yo Filly · 8-7 · OR 45

Hamilton · Annual Members Of Hamilton Park Handicap · 1m 4f 15y

#9

Rank

Odds

12/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#9

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Winless from 10 starts but turned in best effort of the season returned to the scene of her best 2-y-o run when fifth of 10 at Beverley (8.5f, good) 12 days ago. Significantly back up in trip.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength30%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 6.1 /10 (raw 6.4)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C5.8
Today: 6
Class gap: +0.2
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack5 @ Carlisle 12/08/2025 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR - · 6f195y Goo 128 · HIGHER CLASS12/0854 @ Beverley 24/08/2025 · Pos 12th of 13 · OR - · 7f96y Goo 126 · HIGHER CLASS5 @ Beverley 17/09/2025 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR 49 · 1m100y Sft 115 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark17/09/2025 · OR 49 par17/095OR 496 @ Newcastle 02/10/2025 · Pos 3rd of 5 · OR 49 · 1m2f42y Std 124 · beat its mark02/10/2025 · OR 49 par6 @ Newcastle 13/04/2026 · Pos 7th of 7 · OR 48 · 1m2f42y Std 118 · beat its mark13/04/2026 · OR 48 par13/046OR 485 @ Thirsk 16/05/2026 · Pos 11th of 11 · OR 47 · 1m4f8y Goo 116 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark16/05/2026 · OR 47 par6 @ Newcastle 31/07/2026 · Pos 5th of 10 · OR 47 · 1m2f42y Sta 126 · beat its mark31/07/2026 · OR 47 par31/076OR 476 @ Ripon 31/08/2026 · Pos 7th of 10 · OR 46 · 1m1f170y Sft 128 · beat its mark31/08/2026 · OR 46 par6 @ Beverley 16/09/2026 · Pos 5th of 10 · OR 45 · 1m100y Goo 123 · beat its mark16/09/2026 · OR 45 par16/096OR 45projClass-projected finish: 9th of 9
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-16Beverley65th5th0
2026-08-31Ripon67th7th0
2026-07-31Newcastle65th5th0
2026-05-16Thirsk511th10th+1
2026-04-13Newcastle67th7th0
2025-10-02Newcastle63rd3rd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today12/082/1031/0716/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 1011% of fieldRange 1-7 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength74%

Delivery trend +1.8% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 9th of 10.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
12/08/20254th50/10%40%+0.40
24/08/202512th80/10%8%+0.08
17/09/20252nd28/10%83%+0.83
02/10/20253rd9/276%50%-0.26
13/04/20267th33/10%0%0.00
16/05/202611th40/10%0%0.00
31/07/20265th66/10%56%+0.56
31/08/20267th33/10%33%+0.33
16/09/20265th25/10%56%+0.56