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Masekela

7yo Gelding · 10-0 · OR 60

Hamilton · Annual Members Of Hamilton Park Handicap · 1m 4f 15y

#8

Rank

Odds

6/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#8

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Hasn't won since his juvenile days and little to shout about over hurdles for new connections this season, most recently after a second breathing operation. Did go close from this mark when last seen on the level for Tim Easterby last October but hard to have much confidence.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▼1
Strength91%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 5 stronger races — strong class form.

Dropping 6 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.2 /10 (raw 5.5)

Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C4.7
Today: 6
Class gap: +1.3
Higher-class runs: 5
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack6 @ Thirsk 15/08/2025 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR 65 · 1m4f8y Goo 142 · beat its mark15/08/2025 · OR 65 par15/086OR 656 @ Ripon 25/08/2025 · Pos 2nd of 9 · OR 63 · 1m2f190y Goo 154 · beat its mark25/08/2025 · OR 63 par5 @ Redcar 04/10/2025 · Pos 4th of 10 · OR 61 · 1m2f1y Goo 131 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark04/10/2025 · OR 61 par4/105OR 615 @ Newcastle 14/10/2025 · Pos 6th of 9 · OR 60 · 1m2f42y Std 125 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark14/10/2025 · OR 60 par6 @ Redcar 17/10/2025 · Pos 2nd of 9 · OR 60 · 1m2f1y Goo 155 · beat its mark17/10/2025 · OR 60 par17/106OR 604 @ Hexham 02/05/2026 · Pos 6th of 8 · OR - · 2m48y Gd 158 · HIGHER CLASS4 @ Cartmel 27/05/2026 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR - · 2m1f46y Gd 158 · HIGHER CLASS27/0544 @ Cartmel 20/07/2026 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR - · 2m1f46y Gd 158 · HIGHER CLASS5 @ Cartmel 29/08/2026 · Pos 9th of 11 · OR 92 · 2m1f46y Goo 160 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark29/08/2026 · OR 92 par29/085OR 92projClass-projected finish: 4th of 9
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-29Cartmel59th8th+1
2026-07-20Cartmel43rd1st+2
2026-05-27Cartmel43rd1st+2
2026-05-02Hexham46th4th+2
2025-10-17Redcar62nd2nd0
2025-10-14Newcastle56th5th+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today15/0814/1027/0529/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 1044% of fieldRange 1-3 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength100%

Delivery trend +5.4% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 6th of 10. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
15/08/20254th10/382%50%-0.32
25/08/20252nd3/184%88%+0.03
04/10/20254th17/255%67%+0.11
14/10/20256th7/163%38%-0.26
17/10/20252nd7/593%88%-0.05
02/05/20266th25/10%29%+0.29
27/05/20263rd10/147%67%+0.19
20/07/20263rd9/153%71%+0.19
29/08/20269th40/10%20%+0.20