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6

Luna Diva

5yo Mare · 8-10 · OR 72

Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 1 - Claiming · 6f

#4

Rank

Odds

3/1

Win Prob

10%

Place Prob

15%

Rank

#4

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▼2
Strength89%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 4 stronger races — strong class form.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 1.5 /10 (raw 4.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.8
Today:
Class gap: +1.7
Higher-class runs: 4
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 24/09/2025 · Pos 4th of 5 · OR 66 · 6f 122 · below its mark24/09/2025 · OR 66 par24/09C8OR 66C8 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 16/10/2025 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR 66 · 5f110y 122 · beat its mark16/10/2025 · OR 66 parC5 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 23/10/2025 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR 69 · 5f110y Fas 123 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark23/10/2025 · OR 69 par23/10C5OR 69C8 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 10/11/2025 · Pos 3rd of 6 · OR 69 · 6f 124 · below its mark10/11/2025 · OR 69 parC5 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 14/04/2026 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR 65 · 5f110y 122 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark14/04/2026 · OR 65 par14/04C5OR 65C5 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 20/05/2026 · Pos 6th of 9 · OR 69 · 5f110y 117 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark20/05/2026 · OR 69 parC5 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 16/06/2026 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR 64 · 6f 122 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark16/06/2026 · OR 64 par16/06C5OR 64C5 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 07/07/2026 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR 69 · 5f110y 122 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark07/07/2026 · OR 69 parC8 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 09/09/2026 · Pos 2nd of 6 · OR 68 · 5f110y 122 · below its mark09/09/2026 · OR 68 par9/09C8OR 68projClass-projected finish: 1st of 7
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-09Horseshoe Indianapolis?2nd2nd0
2026-07-07Horseshoe Indianapolis?3rd0th+3
2026-06-16Horseshoe Indianapolis?4th1st+3
2026-05-20Horseshoe Indianapolis?6th3rd+3
2026-04-14Horseshoe Indianapolis?3rd0th+3
2025-11-10Horseshoe Indianapolis?3rd3rd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today24/0910/1116/069/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 767% of fieldRange 1-3 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▲
Strength93%

Delivery trend +3.2% per run

What the projection says

Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 3rd of 7. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
24/09/20254th9/488%25%-0.63
16/10/20251st9/488%100%+0.12
23/10/20252nd7/163%86%+0.23
10/11/20253rd4/179%60%-0.19
14/04/20263rd6/168%67%-0.02
20/05/20266th8/158%38%-0.20
16/06/20264th15/261%50%-0.11
07/07/20263rd10/147%67%+0.19
09/09/20262nd3/184%80%-0.04