2
Peter's Dream
4yo Filly · 8-10 · OR 61
Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 1 - Claiming · 6f
#7
Rank
Odds
15/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength28%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.5 /10 (raw 4.3)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-25 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-08-11 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-15 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-15 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-05-20 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-05-01 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 717% of fieldRange 3-6 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength47%
Delivery trend +8.0% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 6th of 7. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/10/2025 | 7th | 13/2 | 66% | 14% | -0.52 |
| 10/11/2025 | 4th | 7/1 | 63% | 40% | -0.23 |
| 14/04/2026 | 7th | 14/1 | 26% | 0% | -0.26 |
| 01/05/2026 | 4th | 9/1 | 53% | 40% | -0.13 |
| 20/05/2026 | 5th | 9/1 | 53% | 0% | -0.53 |
| 15/06/2026 | 6th | 20/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 15/07/2026 | 5th | 14/1 | 26% | 33% | +0.07 |
| 11/08/2026 | 3rd | 11/2 | 71% | 67% | -0.04 |
| 25/08/2026 | 4th | 16/1 | 16% | 50% | +0.34 |