2
That's The Girl
2yo Filly · 8-8 · OR 68
Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 2 - Maiden Special Weight · 1m
#3
Rank
Odds
6/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
4%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 4.5 /10 (raw 4.5)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-23 | Ellis Park | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-07-25 | Colonial Downs | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 620% of fieldRange 2-2 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▲
Strength70%
Delivery trend +3.6% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 5th of 6. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/07/2026 | 2nd | 11/4 | 86% | 80% | -0.06 |
| 23/08/2026 | 7th | 10/1 | 47% | 45% | -0.02 |