IvyArcIvyArc
2

Aumoe

3yo Gelding · 8-8 · OR 71

Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 4 - Maiden Special Weight · 5f 110y

#2

Rank

Odds

9/2

Win Prob

2%

Place Prob

13%

Rank

#2

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength6%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 4.7 /10 (raw 4.5)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 11/05/2026 · Pos 7th of 12 · OR 62 · 6f 122 · beat its mark11/05/2026 · OR 62 par11/05C6OR 62C6 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 28/05/2026 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR 62 · 5f110y 122 · beat its mark28/05/2026 · OR 62 parC6 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 06/06/2026 · Pos 5th of 7 · OR 66 · 5f110y Fas 120 · below its mark06/06/2026 · OR 66 par6/06C6OR 66C6 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 30/06/2026 · Pos 6th of 12 · OR 66 · 1m Fm 120 · beat its mark30/06/2026 · OR 66 parC6 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 14/07/2026 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR 67 · 6f 120 · beat its mark14/07/2026 · OR 67 par14/07C6OR 67C6 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 04/08/2026 · Pos 4th of 9 · OR 67 · 5f Fm 117 · beat its mark04/08/2026 · OR 67 parC6 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 18/08/2026 · Pos 3rd of 10 · OR 68 · 5f110y Fas 120 · beat its mark18/08/2026 · OR 68 par18/08C6OR 68C6 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 25/08/2026 · Pos 3rd of 9 · OR 71 · 1m Gd 120 · beat its mark25/08/2026 · OR 71 parC6 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 15/09/2026 · Pos 7th of 8 · OR 73 · 1m Fas 120 · below its mark15/09/2026 · OR 73 par15/09C6OR 73projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 5
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-15Horseshoe Indianapolis?7th7th0
2026-08-25Horseshoe Indianapolis?3rd3rd0
2026-08-18Horseshoe Indianapolis?3rd3rd0
2026-08-04Horseshoe Indianapolis?4th4th0
2026-07-14Horseshoe Indianapolis?5th5th0
2026-06-30Horseshoe Indianapolis?6th6th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today11/0530/0618/0815/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 767% of fieldRange 2-6 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength51%

Delivery trend -4.4% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 3rd of 7. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
11/05/20267th16/116%45%+0.30
28/05/20262nd8/158%83%+0.25
06/06/20265th11/271%33%-0.38
30/06/20266th15/261%55%-0.06
14/07/20265th10/147%43%-0.05
04/08/20264th6/168%63%-0.06
18/08/20263rd11/271%78%+0.07
25/08/20263rd9/276%75%-0.01
15/09/20267th9/153%14%-0.38