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3

My Friend Wilson

3yo Colt · 8-8 · OR 64

Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 4 - Maiden Special Weight · 5f 110y

#6

Rank

Odds

25/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#6

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength24%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Class-adjusted form 6.2 /10 (raw 7.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 30/07/2025 · Pos 10th of 10 · OR - · 5f Fas 12030/07C6C6 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 28/10/2025 · Pos 9th of 12 · OR 23 · 5f110y 120 · beat its mark28/10/2025 · OR 23 parC6 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 13/11/2025 · Pos 6th of 10 · OR 29 · 1m 120 · beat its mark13/11/2025 · OR 29 par13/11C6OR 29C6 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 23/06/2026 · Pos 5th of 7 · OR 46 · 6f Fas 120 · beat its mark23/06/2026 · OR 46 parC6 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 30/06/2026 · Pos 7th of 12 · OR 50 · 1m Fm 120 · beat its mark30/06/2026 · OR 50 par30/06C6OR 50C6 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 11/08/2026 · Pos 7th of 9 · OR 55 · 1m110y 120 · beat its mark11/08/2026 · OR 55 parC6 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 25/08/2026 · Pos 6th of 9 · OR 53 · 1m Gd 120 · beat its mark25/08/2026 · OR 53 par25/08C6OR 53C6 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 15/09/2026 · Pos 6th of 8 · OR 55 · 1m Fas 120 · beat its mark15/09/2026 · OR 55 par15/09C6OR 55projClass-projected finish: 4th of 5
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-15Horseshoe Indianapolis?6th6th0
2026-08-25Horseshoe Indianapolis?6th6th0
2026-08-11Horseshoe Indianapolis?7th7th0
2026-06-30Horseshoe Indianapolis?7th7th0
2026-06-23Horseshoe Indianapolis?5th5th0
2025-11-13Horseshoe Indianapolis?6th6th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today30/0723/0625/0815/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 70% of fieldRange 3-6 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength39%

Delivery trend +3.5% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 7th of 7. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
30/07/202510th14/126%0%-0.26
28/10/20259th33/10%27%+0.27
13/11/20256th33/10%44%+0.44
23/06/20265th33/10%33%+0.33
30/06/20267th16/116%45%+0.30
11/08/20267th25/10%25%+0.25
25/08/20266th16/116%38%+0.22
15/09/20266th33/10%29%+0.29