7

Recomputing
3yo Gelding · 8-8 · OR 39
Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 4 - Maiden Special Weight · 5f 110y
#7
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▲3
Strength8%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own.
Class-adjusted form 9.7 /10 (raw 6.7)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.5
Today:
Class gap: -2.5
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-08 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 5th | 8th | −3 |
| 2026-06-03 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 9th | 12th | −3 |
| 2026-05-01 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 6th | 9th | −3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 717% of fieldRange 1-1 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▲
Strength100%
Delivery trend +59.2% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 6th of 7. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/05/2026 | 6th | 6/1 | 68% | 0% | -0.68 |
| 03/06/2026 | 9th | 25/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 08/09/2026 | 5th | 40/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |