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3yo Gelding · 8-8 · OR 76
Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 4 - Maiden Special Weight · 5f 110y
#3
Rank
Odds
9/5
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▬
Strength8%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Class-adjusted form 3.2 /10 (raw 3.6)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-15 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-08-25 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-08-11 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-27 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-30 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-09 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 750% of fieldRange 2-5 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength57%
Delivery trend -9.3% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 4th of 7. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/05/2026 | 8th | 25/1 | 0% | 36% | +0.36 |
| 19/05/2026 | 2nd | 13/2 | 66% | 80% | +0.14 |
| 09/06/2026 | 2nd | 14/1 | 26% | 89% | +0.63 |
| 30/06/2026 | 3rd | 5/1 | 74% | 82% | +0.08 |
| 27/07/2026 | 2nd | 5/2 | 87% | 83% | -0.04 |
| 11/08/2026 | 4th | 9/2 | 76% | 63% | -0.14 |
| 25/08/2026 | 4th | 11/4 | 86% | 63% | -0.23 |
| 15/09/2026 | 4th | 11/2 | 71% | 57% | -0.14 |