Ce La Vi Charli
4yo Filly · 8-10 · OR 88
Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 5 - Starter Optional Claiming · 1m
#4
Rank
Odds
6/1
Win Prob
11%
Place Prob
16%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 2 higher-class runs.
Dropping 6 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.6 /10 (raw 4.7)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-19 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-09 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-06-25 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 7th | 6th | +1 |
| 2026-06-13 | Churchill Downs | ? | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2026-05-08 | Churchill Downs | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-03-15 | Turfway Park | ? | 9th | 8th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -6.7% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 6th of 10. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/01/2026 | 6th | 10/1 | 47% | 50% | +0.03 |
| 08/02/2026 | 7th | 25/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |
| 28/02/2026 | 7th | 20/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |
| 15/03/2026 | 9th | 40/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 08/05/2026 | 5th | 14/1 | 26% | 20% | -0.06 |
| 13/06/2026 | 3rd | 10/1 | 47% | 60% | +0.13 |
| 25/06/2026 | 7th | 20/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 09/07/2026 | 1st | 9/1 | 53% | 100% | +0.47 |
| 19/08/2026 | 4th | 11/10 | 94% | 0% | -0.94 |