
Kam's Rockin Gold
5yo Mare · 8-7 · OR 84
Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 5 - Starter Optional Claiming · 1m
#6
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 1 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.3 /10 (raw 4.6)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-27 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-08-19 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-29 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2026-06-25 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-14 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 1st | -1th | +2 |
| 2026-05-06 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +0.7% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 9th of 10.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/10/2025 | 6th | 3/1 | 84% | 17% | -0.68 |
| 16/01/2026 | 3rd | 4/1 | 79% | 67% | -0.12 |
| 12/02/2026 | 1st | 11/4 | 86% | 100% | +0.14 |
| 06/05/2026 | 4th | 20/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |
| 14/05/2026 | 1st | 11/2 | 71% | 100% | +0.29 |
| 25/06/2026 | 2nd | 9/1 | 53% | 89% | +0.36 |
| 29/07/2026 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 63% | +0.26 |
| 19/08/2026 | 3rd | 10/3 | 82% | 33% | -0.49 |
| 27/08/2026 | 8th | 6/1 | 68% | 30% | -0.38 |