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4

Nixon's Time

4yo Filly · 8-10 · OR 78

Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 5 - Starter Optional Claiming · 1m

#10

Rank

Odds

15/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#10

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▼1
Strength75%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.

Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 4 stronger races — strong class form.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 2.1 /10 (raw 4.1)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.5
Today:
Class gap: +1.0
Higher-class runs: 4
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Mahoning Valley 24/12/2025 · Pos 1st of 5 · OR 72 · 1m Slo 125 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark24/12/2025 · OR 72 par24/12C6OR 72C8 @ Turfway Park 15/01/2026 · Pos 8th of 10 · OR 70 · 1m110y Fas 123 · below its mark15/01/2026 · OR 70 parC5 @ Mahoning Valley 03/02/2026 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR 68 · 1m70y Slo 124 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark03/02/2026 · OR 68 par3/02C5OR 68C5 @ Mahoning Valley 18/02/2026 · Pos 3rd of 5 · OR 67 · 1m Slo 124 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark18/02/2026 · OR 67 parC5 @ Mahoning Valley 03/03/2026 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR 66 · 1m 124 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark03/03/2026 · OR 66 par3/03C5OR 66C5 @ Mahoning Valley 08/04/2026 · Pos 4th of 5 · OR 65 · 1m Fas 124 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark08/04/2026 · OR 65 parC5 @ Thistledown 20/05/2026 · Pos 1st of 5 · OR 69 · 1m Slo 119 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark20/05/2026 · OR 69 par20/05C5OR 69C7 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 09/07/2026 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR 69 · 1m Fm 122 · below its mark09/07/2026 · OR 69 parC7 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 19/08/2026 · Pos 2nd of 4 · OR 75 · 1m Fas 122 · below its mark19/08/2026 · OR 75 par19/08C7OR 75projClass-projected finish: 4th of 10
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-19Horseshoe Indianapolis?2nd2nd0
2026-07-09Horseshoe Indianapolis?5th5th0
2026-05-20Thistledown?1st-1th+2
2026-04-08Mahoning Valley?4th2nd+2
2026-03-03Mahoning Valley?4th2nd+2
2026-02-18Mahoning Valley?3rd1st+2

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today24/1218/0220/0519/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 100% of fieldRange 4-9 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength40%

Delivery trend +1.7% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 10th of 10.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
24/12/20251st6/594%100%+0.06
15/01/20268th33/10%22%+0.22
03/02/20264th12/137%57%+0.20
18/02/20263rd6/168%50%-0.18
03/03/20264th12/137%40%+0.03
08/04/20264th9/153%25%-0.28
20/05/20261st15/261%100%+0.39
09/07/20265th25/10%43%+0.43
19/08/20262nd8/158%67%+0.09