Razzle Red
5yo Mare · 8-10 · OR 90
Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 5 - Starter Optional Claiming · 1m
#5
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
4%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.5 /10 (raw 3.9)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-09 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-06 | Churchill Downs | ? | 4th | 5th | −1 |
| 2026-04-25 | Churchill Downs | ? | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2026-03-07 | Turfway Park | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-02-14 | Turfway Park | ? | 7th | 6th | +1 |
| 2026-01-15 | Turfway Park | ? | 5th | 4th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +2.8% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 3rd of 10. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/06/2025 | 4th | 3/1 | 84% | 40% | -0.44 |
| 03/11/2025 | 1st | 10/1 | 47% | 100% | +0.53 |
| 27/12/2025 | 2nd | 7/1 | 63% | 88% | +0.24 |
| 15/01/2026 | 5th | 20/1 | 0% | 43% | +0.43 |
| 14/02/2026 | 7th | 16/1 | 16% | 0% | -0.16 |
| 07/03/2026 | 6th | 10/1 | 47% | 17% | -0.31 |
| 25/04/2026 | 3rd | 20/1 | 0% | 71% | +0.71 |
| 06/06/2026 | 4th | 16/1 | 16% | 57% | +0.41 |
| 09/07/2026 | 2nd | 3/1 | 84% | 86% | +0.02 |