6
Woodruff
3yo Filly · 8-6 · OR 91
Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 5 - Starter Optional Claiming · 1m
#8
Rank
Odds
9/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength33%
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.0 /10 (raw 3.4)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.1
Today:
Class gap: +0.4
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-01 | Delaware Park | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-07-08 | Delaware Park | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-07 | Monmouth Park | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-05-21 | Delaware Park | ? | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2026-04-12 | Oaklawn Park | ? | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2026-03-15 | Oaklawn Park | ? | 7th | 5th | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 1022% of fieldRange 1-8 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength68%
Delivery trend -3.4% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 8th of 10. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/10/2025 | 1st | 8/1 | 58% | 100% | +0.42 |
| 23/11/2025 | 6th | 16/1 | 16% | 29% | +0.13 |
| 05/02/2026 | 3rd | 7/1 | 63% | 75% | +0.12 |
| 15/03/2026 | 7th | 14/1 | 26% | 0% | -0.26 |
| 12/04/2026 | 4th | 25/1 | 0% | 73% | +0.73 |
| 21/05/2026 | 6th | 10/1 | 47% | 0% | -0.47 |
| 07/06/2026 | 1st | 7/4 | 91% | 100% | +0.09 |
| 08/07/2026 | 2nd | 13/8 | 91% | 90% | -0.01 |
| 01/08/2026 | 1st | 6/4 | 92% | 100% | +0.08 |