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2yo Gelding · 8-8 · OR 63

Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 6 - Maiden Special Weight · 1m

#3

Rank

Odds

5/1

Win Prob

3%

Place Prob

10%

Rank

#3

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Class-adjusted form 3.5 /10 (raw 3.5)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 16/07/2026 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR - · 5f 12016/07C6C6 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 19/08/2026 · Pos 2nd of 11 · OR 63 · 5f 120 · beat its mark19/08/2026 · OR 63 par19/08C6OR 63projClass-projected finish: 1st of 4
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-19Horseshoe Indianapolis?2nd2nd0
2026-07-16Horseshoe Indianapolis?5th5th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today16/0719/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 871% of fieldRange 1-1 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▲
Strength100%

Delivery trend +57.7% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 3rd of 8. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
16/07/20265th3/184%43%-0.41
19/08/20262nd5/174%90%+0.16