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Tricked You

2yo Colt · 8-8 · OR 64

Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 6 - Maiden Special Weight · 1m

#1

Rank

Odds

2/1

Win Prob

22%

Place Prob

27%

Rank

#1

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength19%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Class-adjusted form 4.0 /10 (raw 4.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 07/05/2026 · Pos 5th of 5 · OR - · 5f Fas 1177/05C6C6 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 25/06/2026 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR 48 · 5f Slo 119 · beat its mark25/06/2026 · OR 48 par25/06C6OR 48C6 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 16/07/2026 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR 54 · 5f 120 · beat its mark16/07/2026 · OR 54 par16/07C6OR 54C6 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 02/09/2026 · Pos 2nd of 6 · OR 59 · 1m 120 · beat its mark02/09/2026 · OR 59 par2/09C6OR 59projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 4
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-02Horseshoe Indianapolis?2nd2nd0
2026-07-16Horseshoe Indianapolis?4th4th0
2026-06-25Horseshoe Indianapolis?5th5th0
2026-05-07Horseshoe Indianapolis?5th5th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today7/0525/0616/072/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 8100% of fieldRange 1-2 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▲
Strength100%

Delivery trend +13.7% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 1st of 8. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
07/05/20265th12/137%0%-0.37
25/06/20265th13/266%43%-0.23
16/07/20264th12/137%57%+0.20
02/09/20262nd11/486%80%-0.06