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9

Ain't Dere No Mo

3yo Gelding · 8-8 · OR 77

Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 7 - Maiden Claiming · 1m 110y

#6

Rank

Odds

6/1

Win Prob

1%

Place Prob

5%

Rank

#6

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▼2
Strength75%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.3 /10 (raw 7.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.3
Today:
Class gap: +2.3
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Fair Grounds 19/01/2026 · Pos 8th of 9 · OR - · 5f110y 120 · HIGHER CLASS19/01C6C7 @ Fair Grounds 22/03/2026 · Pos 6th of 9 · OR 86 · 5f110y Fm 117 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark22/03/2026 · OR 86 par22/03C7OR 86projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 12
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-03-22Fair Grounds?6th4th+2
2026-01-19Fair Grounds?8th5th+3

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today19/0122/03
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 1291% of fieldRange 1-1 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength100%

Delivery trend +40.8% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 2nd of 12. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
19/01/20268th16/116%13%-0.03
22/03/20266th20/10%38%+0.38