6
Al Amjaad
3yo Gelding · 8-8 · OR 76
Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 7 - Maiden Claiming · 1m 110y
#8
Rank
Odds
7/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
3%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.3 /10 (raw 5.4)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-23 | Ellis Park | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-08-11 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-07-06 | Ellis Park | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-11 | Churchill Downs | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-05-17 | Churchill Downs | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-04-12 | Keeneland | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 1236% of fieldRange 1-11 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength64%
Delivery trend -3.5% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 8th of 12. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/02/2026 | 8th | 20/1 | 0% | 36% | +0.36 |
| 14/03/2026 | 3rd | 11/4 | 86% | 60% | -0.26 |
| 12/04/2026 | 9th | 20/1 | 0% | 27% | +0.27 |
| 17/05/2026 | 2nd | 1/1 | 95% | 67% | -0.28 |
| 11/06/2026 | 4th | 9/4 | 88% | 50% | -0.38 |
| 06/07/2026 | 5th | 33/1 | 0% | 64% | +0.64 |
| 11/08/2026 | 9th | 6/1 | 68% | 11% | -0.57 |
| 23/08/2026 | 3rd | 7/1 | 63% | 67% | +0.04 |