5
Hurricane Express
5yo Gelding · 8-12 · OR 75
Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 7 - Maiden Claiming · 1m 110y
#3
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
13%
Place Prob
16%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.3 /10 (raw 4.6)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-03 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-07-14 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-06-23 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-10 | Hawthorne | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-04-19 | Hawthorne | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-04-08 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 1255% of fieldRange 12-12 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -3.9% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 6th of 12. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/01/2026 | 6th | 10/1 | 47% | 55% | +0.07 |
| 20/02/2026 | 2nd | 3/1 | 84% | 89% | +0.05 |
| 07/03/2026 | 2nd | 9/4 | 88% | 89% | +0.01 |
| 08/04/2026 | 3rd | 2/5 | 98% | 60% | -0.38 |
| 19/04/2026 | 4th | 3/1 | 84% | 50% | -0.34 |
| 10/05/2026 | 3rd | 9/4 | 88% | 75% | -0.13 |
| 23/06/2026 | 3rd | 3/1 | 84% | 82% | -0.02 |
| 14/07/2026 | 8th | 9/2 | 76% | 30% | -0.46 |
| 03/09/2026 | 11th | 14/1 | 26% | 9% | -0.17 |