Playonwords
3yo Gelding · 8-8 · OR 82
Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 7 - Maiden Claiming · 1m 110y
#1
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
32%
Place Prob
25%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.2 /10 (raw 4.4)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-03 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-08-11 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-07-07 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-06-15 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 3rd | 0th | +3 |
| 2026-05-06 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 4th | 1st | +3 |
| 2026-04-19 | Keeneland | ? | 6th | 3rd | +3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -8.7% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 4th of 12. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/03/2026 | 4th | 20/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |
| 20/03/2026 | 3rd | 16/1 | 16% | 60% | +0.44 |
| 19/04/2026 | 6th | 50/1 | 0% | 55% | +0.55 |
| 06/05/2026 | 4th | 3/1 | 84% | 40% | -0.44 |
| 15/06/2026 | 3rd | 3/1 | 84% | 71% | -0.13 |
| 07/07/2026 | 6th | 10/1 | 47% | 50% | +0.03 |
| 11/08/2026 | 7th | 9/1 | 53% | 33% | -0.19 |
| 03/09/2026 | 2nd | 13/2 | 66% | 91% | +0.25 |