Rum Rock

3yo Gelding · 8-8 · OR 72

Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 7 - Maiden Claiming · 1m 110y

Rank

Odds

5/1

Win Prob

Place Prob

Rank

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL

▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark

Move▼1

Strength20%

What the class read says

Dropping in class from recent starts. Whether that's a positive depends on intent — worth checking the yard's record placing horses down in grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.3 /10 (raw 4.3)

Highest class:

Recent avg: C7.7

Today:

Class gap: +0.8

Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today

Date	Course	Cls	Pos	Adj	Gap	Adj Score
2026-09-03	Delaware Park	?	6th	6th	0	4.0
2026-07-01	Delaware Park	?	3rd	3rd	0	7.0
2026-06-06	Delaware Park	?	4th	1st	+3	9.0

Position-In-Market Trend

Expected Actual Regression 68% CI

Projected finish9th of 1227% of fieldRange 8-12 · 68%

▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price

Trend▼

Strength0%

Delivery trend -24.6% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 9th of 12. Recent form is easing off.

Date	Pos	SP	Exp	Act	Δ
06/06/2026	4th	10/1	47%	25%	-0.22
01/07/2026	3rd	7/2	82%	67%	-0.15
03/09/2026	6th	9/4	88%	17%	-0.71