1
Star Saver
3yo Gelding · 8-8 · OR 74
Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 7 - Maiden Claiming · 1m 110y
#2
Rank
Odds
9/2
Win Prob
48%
Place Prob
31%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength6%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.2 /10 (raw 2.8)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: +0.5
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-18 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-25 | Ellis Park | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-17 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-12 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-04-08 | Mahoning Valley | ? | 3rd | 0th | +3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 12100% of fieldRange 1-3 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▲
Strength89%
Delivery trend +9.3% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 1st of 12. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/04/2026 | 3rd | 15/8 | 90% | 60% | -0.30 |
| 12/05/2026 | 3rd | 11/8 | 93% | 71% | -0.21 |
| 17/06/2026 | 3rd | 5/2 | 87% | 60% | -0.27 |
| 25/07/2026 | 3rd | 10/3 | 82% | 75% | -0.07 |
| 18/08/2026 | 2nd | 5/1 | 74% | 83% | +0.10 |