10
The Blue Factor
3yo Gelding · 8-8 · OR 77
Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 7 - Maiden Claiming · 1m 110y
#9
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#9
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength8%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 6.4 /10 (raw 6.4)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-03 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2026-07-14 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-23 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-12 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-02-27 | Turfway Park | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish12th of 120% of fieldRange 8-12 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -7.1% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 12th of 12. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/02/2026 | 6th | 7/2 | 82% | 29% | -0.53 |
| 12/05/2026 | 7th | 33/1 | 0% | 45% | +0.45 |
| 23/06/2026 | 2nd | 5/1 | 74% | 91% | +0.17 |
| 14/07/2026 | 5th | 9/2 | 76% | 60% | -0.16 |
| 03/09/2026 | 12th | 8/1 | 58% | 0% | -0.58 |