2
Zun Reyder
4yo Gelding · 8-12 · OR 78
Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 7 - Maiden Claiming · 1m 110y
#4
Rank
Odds
5/1
Win Prob
3%
Place Prob
8%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength18%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.3 /10 (raw 6.1)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-02 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-08-11 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-07 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-01-04 | Fair Grounds | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-12-14 | Fair Grounds | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-11-22 | Fair Grounds | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 1282% of fieldRange 1-8 · 68%
▬ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength69%
Delivery trend -4.6% per run
What the projection says
Edging ahead of its price lately — not a standalone signal; it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 3rd of 12. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/10/2024 | 10th | 50/1 | 0% | 18% | +0.18 |
| 13/11/2024 | 8th | 25/1 | 0% | 36% | +0.36 |
| 13/04/2025 | 11th | 50/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 22/11/2025 | 3rd | 25/1 | 0% | 78% | +0.78 |
| 14/12/2025 | 3rd | 7/1 | 63% | 80% | +0.17 |
| 04/01/2026 | 5th | 14/1 | 26% | 50% | +0.24 |
| 07/07/2026 | 5th | 15/2 | 61% | 60% | -0.01 |
| 11/08/2026 | 3rd | 5/1 | 74% | 78% | +0.04 |
| 02/09/2026 | 7th | 8/1 | 58% | 45% | -0.12 |