5
Steel Golden
3yo Gelding · 8-8 · OR 81
Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 8 - Maiden Special Weight · 1m
#3
Rank
Odds
5/2
Win Prob
12%
Place Prob
16%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 5.6 /10 (raw 5.6)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-29 | Colonial Downs | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-05 | Ellis Park | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-01-04 | Turfway Park | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2025-11-14 | Churchill Downs | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2025-10-04 | Keeneland | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 950% of fieldRange 1-8 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength60%
Delivery trend -8.2% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 5th of 9. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/10/2025 | 3rd | 12/1 | 37% | 80% | +0.43 |
| 14/11/2025 | 9th | 12/1 | 37% | 27% | -0.10 |
| 04/01/2026 | 8th | 13/2 | 66% | 36% | -0.29 |
| 05/07/2026 | 6th | 9/1 | 53% | 29% | -0.24 |
| 29/08/2026 | 2nd | 5/1 | 74% | 83% | +0.10 |