9

Jaguar D'erable

7yo Gelding · 0-0

Le Croise-Laroche · Prix De Ronchin - Attele · 1m 6f 9y

#14

Rank

Odds

25/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#14

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 6.8 /10 (raw 5.2)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C0.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Amiens 09/12/2024 · Pos 5th of 14 · OR - · 1m3f204y Std 09/12C?C0 @ Cabourg 17/12/2024 · Pos 3rd of 16 · OR - · 1m5f147y Std 0C0 @ Vincennes 28/01/2025 · Pos 7th of 13 · OR - · 1m2f96y Std 028/01C?C0 @ Vincennes 11/02/2025 · Pos 2nd of 14 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 0C0 @ Caen 13/03/2025 · Pos 7th of 16 · OR - · 1m4f39y Std 013/03C?C0 @ Reims 16/04/2025 · Pos 5th of 14 · OR - · 1m4f94y Std 0C0 @ Argentan 25/05/2025 · Pos 6th of 16 · OR - · 1m6f64y Std 025/05C?C0 @ Cherbourg 15/06/2025 · Pos 9th of 15 · OR - · 1m5f10y Std 0C0 @ Toulouse 19/09/2025 · Pos 7th of 13 · OR - · 1m2f151y Std 019/09C?projClass-projected finish: 10th of 14
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2025-09-19Toulouse?7th7th0
2025-08-28Pornichet?0
2025-06-15Cherbourg?9th9th0
2025-05-25Argentan?6th6th0
2025-04-16Reims?5th5th0
2025-03-13Caen?7th7th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today9/1211/0225/0519/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish14th of 140% of fieldRange 8-14 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▬
Strength0%

Delivery trend -1.4% per run

What the projection says

Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 14th of 14.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
09/12/20245th7/282%69%-0.12
17/12/20243rd7/282%87%+0.05
28/01/20257th25/10%50%+0.50
11/02/20252nd11/142%92%+0.50
13/03/20257th11/893%60%-0.33
16/04/20255th5/287%69%-0.18
25/05/20256th14/126%67%+0.40
15/06/20259th11/486%43%-0.43
19/09/20257th14/126%50%+0.24