12
Jaguar D'escrit
7yo Gelding · 0-0
Le Croise-Laroche · Prix De Ronchin - Attele · 1m 6f 9y
#1
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
34%
Place Prob
24%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength2%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 3.6 /10 (raw 3.8)
Highest class: 6
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-11 | Chartres | 6 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-09-02 | La Capelle | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-08-20 | Pornichet | 6 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-09 | Saint-Malo | 6 | 0 | ||
| 2026-06-28 | Chartres | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-04-05 | Chartres | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1469% of fieldRange 5-14 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength20%
Delivery trend -0.6% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 5th of 14.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/04/2022 | 3rd | 28/1 | 0% | 75% | +0.75 |
| 15/11/2023 | 2nd | 7/1 | 63% | 92% | +0.29 |
| 24/05/2024 | 10th | 7/2 | 82% | 31% | -0.51 |
| 17/10/2024 | 1st | 17/2 | 55% | 100% | +0.45 |
| 05/04/2026 | 7th | 66/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 28/06/2026 | 4th | 11/2 | 71% | 70% | -0.01 |
| 20/08/2026 | 4th | 15/2 | 61% | 73% | +0.12 |
| 02/09/2026 | 2nd | 11/4 | 86% | 91% | +0.05 |
| 11/09/2026 | 1st | 12/1 | 37% | 100% | +0.63 |