14
Joyau Darling
7yo Gelding · 0-0
Le Croise-Laroche · Prix De Ronchin - Attele · 1m 6f 9y
#13
Rank
Odds
15/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#13
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 6.8 /10 (raw 5.2)
Highest class: 6
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-20 | Le Croise-Laroche | ? | 13th | 13th | 0 |
| 2026-04-23 | Reims | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-04-14 | Lyon-Parilly | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-04-02 | Mauquenchy | 6 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-03-15 | Chartres | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2025-12-02 | Mauquenchy | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish12th of 1415% of fieldRange 2-13 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength53%
Delivery trend +0.6% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 12th of 14.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/08/2025 | 2nd | 5/1 | 74% | 88% | +0.14 |
| 19/10/2025 | 3rd | 18/1 | 5% | 83% | +0.78 |
| 13/11/2025 | 8th | 8/1 | 58% | 46% | -0.12 |
| 02/12/2025 | 5th | 11/4 | 86% | 69% | -0.16 |
| 15/03/2026 | 8th | 20/1 | 0% | 46% | +0.46 |
| 02/04/2026 | 7th | 50/1 | 0% | 65% | +0.65 |
| 14/04/2026 | 5th | 14/1 | 26% | 73% | +0.47 |
| 23/04/2026 | 3rd | 6/1 | 68% | 85% | +0.16 |
| 20/05/2026 | 13th | 28/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |